Tuesday, 11 November 2025

The genuine data on the climate

 Both scientists, media and politicians rarely if ever present any of the data on the climate we can all find in a few minutes. I am not offering any reason for this, only doing what they appear unwilling or unable to do.

The claims made about our current and future climate appear frightening, but so far I have yet to find a single area which has been made worse by the slight warming we have experienced since the end of the little ice age in the 19th century.

Firstly here are the extreme weather events. There is no trend in any of them. If I find any newer ones I will continue to add them. I have added as many examples of each issue for corroboration and so as not to be accused of cherry picking.

Some people will say but extreme weather is increasing. This is explained here, as being down to a number of reasons based on poor data collection and reporting. Nonetheless the graphs below, confirmed by many statements directly from the IPCC means the official figures suggest no trends.

It also relies heavily on predictions, often to 2100 despite no one being alive at the time to see it when they were originally made. Here's my favourite and represents them all for me in a single claim.

Were consensus a valid scientific principle (rather than actually replacing actual good data) you may imagine it was against man's role in the climate reading the statements from the climate experts:

So take climate advice from a geologist, a Physicist, and an engineer.
You know who we should listen to?
Real climatologists who would disagree
1. Dr John Christy- Most IPCC scientists don't agree that global warming is occurring, findings are misrepresented/politicized.
2. Dr Rosa Compagnucci - Humans contributed only a few tenths of a degree; solar activity is the key driver
3. Dr Robert Davis - Temperatures not changing as models predicted; satellite data ignored in summaries.
4. Dr Willem de Lange - Listed in IPCO without full agreement on human influence.
5. Dr Richard Lindzen - IPCC process politics-driven: summaries
misrepresent scientists.
exploit
ignorance.
6. Dr Harrv Lins - No net warming for over a decade; alarm grossly overstated
7. Steven McIntyre- "Consensus of thousands" is exaggerated/misleading
8. Dr Patrick Michaels - Warming rates invalidate IPCC models
9. Dr Vincent Gray - IPCC statement at "orchestrated litany of lies."
10. Dr Tom Segalstad - IPCC global warming model not supported by data.
11. Dr Robert Balling - No acceleration in sea level rise (omitted from summaries)
12. Dr Lucka Bogataj - CO2 rise follows temperature changes (lag of ~700 years).
13. Dr Philip Lloyd - Summaries distort/contradict scientists' findings
14. Dr Martin Manning - Government
Delegates misrepresent/contradict the lead authors.
15. Dr Paul Reiter - "Settled science" is an obscenity; science distorted.
16. Dr. Murray Salby - Gag reflex to "settle science' claims.
17. Dr Indur Goklany - Climate change unlikely to be the most important environmental problem; no signal in extreme weather mortality.
18. Dr Judith Curry - No confidence in PCC process to just endorse it
19. Dr Robert Carter - (Various on natural variability dominating)
20-46. The remaining entries include additional quotes from figures like Dr Vils-Axel Mörner (sea level claims exaggerated), Dr Madhav Khandekar greater natural/solar role), Dr Lee Gerhard (IPCC claims false, paucity of data), and others focusing on mode flaws, politicization, and ocean acidification overstated. no acceleration in extremes summaries opposite to science, and emphasis on natural cycles (e.g., solar, "DO/AMO). Many repeat themes include distorted summaries, ignored data (e.g., satellite data), or an overemphasis on CO2 versus natural factors.



Update. I have discovered why some graphs show some extreme weather increasing while others don't. 



https://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2023/02/IPCC-Extreme-Weather.pdf

 







Floods.




Flood history in Spain.





Droughts.





It has increased in recent years.

However when taking a wider context droughts can be seen as responding to more factors than temperature.




Rainfall.


 
Top graph is the change in the global annual average daily rainfall compared to a 30 year ‘normal’ value from 1961-1990 (i.e. Rainfall Anomaly) . The bottom graph compares this global average rainfall anomaly to the global average temperature anomaly

Fires.




Hurricanes.



Tornadoes.

Hot days.

 Source EPA






Snow.





Ice.






Polar bears.



Coral.








Food production.



Sea level.

The sea level has risen under a foot a century since the end of the little ice age, and after a slight acceleration may now reach a foot in the 21st century, caused mainly by melting land ice in the Antarctic, Greenland and glaciers, plus thermal expansion. The quarter of the Antarctic which has consistently melted is above a volcanic area.

















Already we can see all the supposed consequences of warming have not occurred. Assuming the 1.5C or so warming we've had since 1850, some scientists claim it should be cooling now but it's warming because of man made CO2. There is no experiment showing gas composition affects atmospheric temperatures, it is all from equations and models. The direct measurements made of similar gas changes show a very low possible increase, while in fact warming creates CO2 as the ocean releases more.

 Finally the fewer thick clouds in the air the more heat reaches the surface. The rise in temperature can be seen to follow the cloud cover (also called incoming solar radiation using the consequence rather than the cause), answering the question directly.


 









 And that is before the adjustments creating the alleged rises.



NASA 
changed their own satellite data not once but twice. This does not instil much confidence in the main source of temperature readings.






Deaths.

90% of temperature related deaths are from cold. Furthermore only the old and weak die from natural heat, everyone will die of cold equally.

I'll let the scientists have the last words.




https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(23)00023-2/fulltext
https://www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/heat-waves-can-be-deadly-older-adults-aging-global-population-and-rising
https://climateataglance.com/climate-at-a-glance-temperature-related-deaths/
References:

Man made CO2 analysis. https://scienceofclimatechange.org/wp-content/uploads/SCC-Ato-2025.pdf?fbclid=IwY2xjawNzbW5leHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETBUZDFua3ptUk1EMktxbE5FAR6EK_vPpsJEK6Mf5rD7P_aIxD8iAjVNLWCGihiZCMIczIb4_rAb6kORTepttA_aem_pm8okpMJpLnRsMnIthmVXA

Spanish floods. Benito, Gerardo & Barriendos, M. & Llasat, Maria & Machado, Maria & Thorndycraft, V.. (2005). Impacts on natural hazards of climatic origin. A. Flood risk. Preliminary Evaluation of the Impacts of Climate Change in Spain. 507-527. 
Hot days. https://www.researchgate.net/figure/The-bar-graphs-show-the-number-of-days-with-daytime-maximum-temperature-at-or-above-95F_fig3_351707226
Reduction in fires. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-03838-0
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rstb.2015.0345
https://climateataglance.com/climate-at-a-glance-u-s-wildfires/
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09047-2
https://www.appstate.edu/~perrylb/Courses/Peru/5015/Readings/Sheffield_etal_2012.pdf
https://www.nature.com/articles/nature11575
Palmer drought security index. https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/palmer-drought-severity-index-pdsi
https://climateataglance.com/climate-at-a-glance-temperature-related-deaths/
Improved food production. https://www.cargill.com/story/in-4-charts-the-past-present-and-future-of-food-security
Hurricanes. https://climateataglance.com/climate-at-a-glance-hurricanes/
Adjustments. https://granthaminstitute.com/2015/10/16/taking-the-planets-temperature-how-are-global-temperatures-calculated/
Polar bears. https://climateataglance.com/climate-at-a-glance-polar-bears-and-climate/
Coral. https://static1.squarespace.com/static/56ba8d0e1d07c00ab0623bb8/t/65eac0f6f7c2fd3373086741/1709883660348/State+of+the+GBR+2024+final.pdf

https://www.aims.gov.au/monitoring-great-barrier-reef/gbr-condition-summary-2024-25
Cyclones. Ryan Maue https://climateataglance.com/climate-at-a-glance-global-tropical-cyclones/